Independent RWA research desk · Status: operationalMethodology & corrections · Submit a story
RWA Watch · Fact checked

CFTC proposes treating event contracts as swaps while excluding casino gambling

Two documents moved in opposite directions: event contracts are proposed into the swap definition, while a separate interim final rule pushes casino and sportsbook wagers out of it.

This article may contain affiliate links. Commercial relationships are disclosed in the affiliate policy.

What happened

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission proposed to expressly include certain event contracts in the definition of a swap, and separately issued an interim final rule excluding casino style gambling products from that definition. The proposal covers contracts based on sports, politics, cultural events and weather.

Reported details

  • CFTC Chairman Michael S. Selig said Americans use event contracts to hedge risks, speculate and obtain information about future outcomes, and described the products as commodity derivatives within the agency’s exclusive jurisdiction under the Commodity Exchange Act.
  • The proposal could strengthen the position of Kalshi and Polymarket US, which have defended federal oversight of their event contracts against challenges from state gambling regulators. Explicitly classifying those contracts as swaps would reinforce the CFTC’s jurisdiction argument, although it would not automatically resolve ongoing court disputes.
  • The separate interim final rule codifies what the CFTC described as its longstanding position that casino style gambling products, including wagers placed on sportsbooks and casino games, fall outside the swap definition.
  • Selig said those products are not derivatives, and framed the exclusion as clarification of the limits of the CFTC’s authority over activities historically regulated by states.

Why this matters

Two documents moved together, and they point in opposite directions. That pairing is the actual news. The agency is simultaneously pulling event contracts toward federal derivatives oversight and pushing sportsbook and casino wagers away from it. A platform whose product line straddles that line cannot treat “we are regulated” as a single answer anymore — which product a contract is determines which regime, which registration, and which set of obligations applies to it.

The status difference matters just as much. The event contract measure is a notice of proposed rulemaking open for public comment, and has not been adopted as a final rule. The casino exclusion is an interim final rule, which means it is already operative. One of these two documents can be relied on today; the other cannot be relied on at all yet.

For Kalshi and Polymarket US specifically, an explicit swap classification strengthens the federal jurisdiction argument against state gambling regulators. It does not settle the court disputes already underway.

What to verify

Read both documents rather than a summary of them, and check the comment deadline on the proposed rule — that is the date that determines whether this has any chance of becoming final this year. Track whether the two rules draw the line in the same place in practice, since the operational question for any venue is whether a specific contract it lists lands inside the swap definition or outside it. And note that the interim final rule is the one that is already in force.

Sources and editorial check time

This information is educational and is not financial, legal, or tax advice.

Sources